The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo — Lazio | 2:6 | 1.07 : 4.36 | deserved |
| Roma — Cagliari | 4:2 | 3.85 : 2.48 | deserved |
| Torino — Como | 1:3 | 1.45 : 2.71 | deserved |
| AC Milan — Bologna | 2:4 | 1.95 : 1.99 | even by chances |
| Parma — Udinese | 0:0 | 1.10 : 1.62 | dropped points |
| Venezia — Inter | 0:2 | 1.49 : 2.25 | deserved |
| Genoa — Juventus | 2:0 | 0.92 : 1.30 | even by chances |
| Monza — Napoli | 1:4 | 0.97 : 2.49 | deserved |
| Frosinone — Lecce | 5:1 | 4.21 : 1.56 | deserved |
| Fiorentina — Atalanta | 2:2 | 1.92 : 1.21 | dropped points |
Lazio — 4.36 xG. Opponent: Sassuolo. Result: a win.
Juventus: 1.30 xG against the opponent's 0.92. Result: a defeat.