The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Borussia Dortmund | Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 14 | 10 |
| xPTS | 12 | 5.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.0 | +4.6 |
| xG per match | 2.03 | 1.76 |
| xGA per match | 1.01 | 2.47 |
| Scored | 11 | 12 |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
By quality of play Borussia Dortmund is ahead: 12.0 xPTS against 5.4. In the table the gap is 4 points. The gap between points and play — Borussia Dortmund: +2.0, Elversberg: +4.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Borussia Dortmund — 9.3, Elversberg — 3.0.