The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Elversberg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 3.4 | 7.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.6 | −1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.56 | 2.19 |
| xGA per match | 2.46 | 1.28 |
| Scored | 8 | 9 |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 |
By quality of play RB Leipzig is ahead: 7.8 xPTS against 3.4. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Elversberg: +3.6, RB Leipzig: −1.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Elversberg — 4.1, RB Leipzig — 9.5.