The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| RB Leipzig | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 7 | 8 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 10.5 | 7.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.5 | +1.8 |
| xG per match | 2.36 | 1.47 |
| xGA per match | 2 | 1.72 |
| Scored | 16 | 12 |
| Conceded | 11 | 12 |
By quality of play RB Leipzig is ahead: 10.5 xPTS against 7.2. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — RB Leipzig: −1.5, Werder Bremen: +1.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: RB Leipzig — 9.1, Werder Bremen — 7.2.