The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| 1. FC Köln | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 7.5 | 5.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.5 | +0.7 |
| xG per match | 2.1 | 2.14 |
| xGA per match | 1.95 | 2.82 |
| Scored | 8 | 8 |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 |
By quality of play 1. FC Köln is ahead: 7.5 xPTS against 5.3. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — 1. FC Köln: −0.5, VfB Stuttgart: +0.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: 1. FC Köln — 6.9, VfB Stuttgart — 7.0.