The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 15 | 16 |
| Points | 5 | 4 |
| xPTS | 5.8 | 8.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.8 | −4.5 |
| xG per match | 1.14 | 1.82 |
| xGA per match | 2.02 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 6 | 6 |
| Conceded | 11 | 12 |
By quality of play Sunderland is ahead: 8.4 xPTS against 5.8. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Aston Villa: −0.8, Sunderland: −4.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Aston Villa — 4.5, Sunderland — 8.1.