The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Chelsea | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 13 | 12 |
| xPTS | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.6 | +1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.7 | 1.51 |
| xGA per match | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| Scored | 17 | 9 |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
By quality of play Liverpool is ahead: 10.5 xPTS against 9.4. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Chelsea: +3.6, Liverpool: +1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Chelsea — 6.4, Liverpool — 6.8.