The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Liverpool | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 12 | 10 |
| xPTS | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.5 | −0.2 |
| xG per match | 1.51 | 1.81 |
| xGA per match | 1.34 | 1.55 |
| Scored | 9 | 13 |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 |
By quality of play they are level: 10.5 xPTS against 10.2. The gap between points and play — Liverpool: +1.5, Brentford: −0.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Liverpool — 6.8, Brentford — 6.6.