The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Hull City | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 6.2 | 6.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.9 | +2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.06 | 1.39 |
| xGA per match | 1.75 | 2.3 |
| Scored | 8 | 11 |
| Conceded | 7 | 15 |
By quality of play they are level: 6.2 xPTS against 6.8. The gap between points and play — Hull City: +2.9, Ipswich Town: +2.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Hull City — 4.7, Ipswich Town — 5.2.