The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Everton | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 7 | 8 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 10.4 | 7.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.4 | +1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.67 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.48 | 1.46 |
| Scored | 8 | 8 |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 |
By quality of play Everton is ahead: 10.4 xPTS against 7.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Everton: −0.4, Leeds United: +1.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Everton — 7.3, Leeds United — 6.4.