The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Osasuna | Racing Santander | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 11 | 11 |
| xPTS | 13.8 | 11.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.8 | −0.9 |
| xG per match | 1.39 | 1.43 |
| xGA per match | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Scored | 10 | 15 |
| Conceded | 20 | 26 |
By quality of play Osasuna is ahead: 13.8 xPTS against 11.9. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Osasuna: −2.8, Racing Santander: −0.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Osasuna — 7.8, Racing Santander — 5.7.