The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Auxerre | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 6 | 5 |
| xPTS | 5.7 | 4.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.3 | +0.9 |
| xG per match | 1.37 | 1.09 |
| xGA per match | 2.14 | 1.96 |
| Scored | 7 | 3 |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 |
By quality of play Auxerre is ahead: 5.7 xPTS against 4.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Auxerre: +0.3, Nice: +0.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Auxerre — 5.0, Nice — 3.9.