The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rennes | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 10 | 8 |
| xPTS | 7.5 | 12.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.5 | −4.6 |
| xG per match | 2.08 | 2.48 |
| xGA per match | 2.03 | 1.16 |
| Scored | 6 | 12 |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
By quality of play Brest is ahead: 12.6 xPTS against 7.5. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Rennes: +2.5, Brest: −4.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rennes — 8.4, Brest — 10.8.