The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lens | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 7 | 7 |
| xPTS | 10.5 | 4.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.5 | +2.4 |
| xG per match | 2.32 | 1.29 |
| xGA per match | 1.55 | 1.92 |
| Scored | 11 | 10 |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
By quality of play Lens is ahead: 10.5 xPTS against 4.6. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Lens: −3.5, Strasbourg: +2.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lens — 9.2, Strasbourg — 4.9.