The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Orenburg | Akron Tolyatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 9 | 8 |
| xPTS | 13.3 | 11.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.3 | −3.2 |
| xG per match | 1.08 | 0.93 |
| xGA per match | 0.89 | 1.24 |
| Scored | 7 | 11 |
| Conceded | 10 | 19 |
By quality of play Orenburg is ahead: 13.3 xPTS against 11.2. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Orenburg: −4.3, Akron Tolyatti: −3.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Orenburg — 7.7, Akron Tolyatti — 4.4.