The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rubin Kazan | Krylia Sovetov | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 12 | 12 |
| xPTS | 11.7 | 15.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.3 | −3.3 |
| xG per match | 0.95 | 1.43 |
| xGA per match | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Scored | 12 | 14 |
| Conceded | 12 | 15 |
By quality of play Krylia Sovetov is ahead: 15.3 xPTS against 11.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Rubin Kazan: +0.3, Krylia Sovetov: −3.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rubin Kazan — 5.7, Krylia Sovetov — 8.3.