The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Spartak Moscow | Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 23 | 16 |
| xPTS | 22.9 | 17.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.1 | −1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.74 | 1.39 |
| xGA per match | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Scored | 21 | 14 |
| Conceded | 10 | 12 |
By quality of play Spartak Moscow is ahead: 22.9 xPTS against 17.9. In the table the gap is 7 points. The gap between points and play — Spartak Moscow: +0.1, Orenburg: −1.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Spartak Moscow — 10.4, Orenburg — 8.1.