The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 12 | 12 |
| xPTS | 14.2 | 10.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.2 | +1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.38 | 0.99 |
| xGA per match | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Scored | 15 | 12 |
| Conceded | 20 | 11 |
By quality of play Dynamo Makhachkala is ahead: 14.2 xPTS against 10.3. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.2, Rubin Kazan: +1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Dynamo Makhachkala — 6.3, Rubin Kazan — 5.6.