The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| CSKA Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 4 |
| Points | 22 | 21 |
| xPTS | 18.4 | 14.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.6 | +6.5 |
| xG per match | 1.72 | 1.25 |
| xGA per match | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Scored | 18 | 16 |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 |
By quality of play CSKA Moscow is ahead: 18.4 xPTS against 14.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — CSKA Moscow: +3.6, Krasnodar: +6.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: CSKA Moscow — 7.2, Krasnodar — 7.3.