The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Zenit | Dynamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 4 |
| Points | 21 | 19 |
| xPTS | 16.9 | 15.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.1 | +3.5 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.43 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 0.94 |
| Scored | 22 | 14 |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 |
By quality of play Zenit is ahead: 16.9 xPTS against 15.5. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Zenit: +4.1, Dynamo Moscow: +3.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Zenit — 9.0, Dynamo Moscow — 9.1.