The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| AC Milan | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 12 | 11 |
| xPTS | 10.7 | 14.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.3 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| xGA per match | 1.21 | 0.49 |
| Scored | 11 | 9 |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
By quality of play Juventus is ahead: 14.7 xPTS against 10.7. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — AC Milan: +1.3, Juventus: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: AC Milan — 9.5, Juventus — 11.8.