The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Frosinone | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 10 | 7 |
| xPTS | 5.3 | 7.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.7 | −0.6 |
| xG per match | 1.48 | 1.86 |
| xGA per match | 2.42 | 1.65 |
| Scored | 9 | 9 |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
By quality of play Sassuolo is ahead: 7.6 xPTS against 5.3. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Frosinone: +4.7, Sassuolo: −0.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Frosinone — 7.4, Sassuolo — 7.5.