The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bologna | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 5 | 4 |
| xPTS | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −5.4 | −5.4 |
| xG per match | 1.56 | 1.87 |
| xGA per match | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| Scored | 6 | 9 |
| Conceded | 10 | 15 |
By quality of play Bologna is ahead: 10.4 xPTS against 9.4. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Bologna: −5.4, Monza: −5.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bologna — 8.3, Monza — 8.5.