The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Frosinone | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 13 | 13 |
| xPTS | 7.4 | 6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +5.6 | +7.0 |
| xG per match | 1.69 | 1.04 |
| xGA per match | 2.34 | 1.86 |
| Scored | 13 | 6 |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 |
By quality of play Frosinone is ahead: 7.4 xPTS against 6.0. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Frosinone: +5.6, Cagliari: +7.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Frosinone — 7.0, Cagliari — 3.5.