The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Cagliari | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 6 | 14.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +7.0 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 1.04 | 1.93 |
| xGA per match | 1.86 | 0.49 |
| Scored | 6 | 9 |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
By quality of play Juventus is ahead: 14.7 xPTS against 6.0. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Cagliari: +7.0, Juventus: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Cagliari — 3.7, Juventus — 11.8.