The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Juventus | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPTS | 15.7 | 14.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.7 | −4.3 |
| xG per match | 1.74 | 2.14 |
| xGA per match | 0.53 | 1.15 |
| Scored | 9 | 10 |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 |
By quality of play Juventus is ahead: 15.7 xPTS against 14.3. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Juventus: −4.7, Napoli: −4.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Juventus — 11.3, Napoli — 7.9.