The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 9 | 8 |
| xPTS | 4.2 | 8.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.8 | −0.5 |
| xG per match | 1.13 | 1.78 |
| xGA per match | 2.23 | 1.68 |
| Scored | 8 | 10 |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 |
By quality of play Sassuolo is ahead: 8.5 xPTS against 4.2. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Atalanta: +4.8, Sassuolo: −0.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Atalanta — 4.8, Sassuolo — 6.4.