The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lecce | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 6 | 5 |
| xPTS | 2.9 | 10 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.1 | −5.0 |
| xG per match | 1.25 | 1.53 |
| xGA per match | 2.8 | 1.21 |
| Scored | 6 | 5 |
| Conceded | 12 | 7 |
By quality of play Bologna is ahead: 10.0 xPTS against 2.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Lecce: +3.1, Bologna: −5.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lecce — 3.7, Bologna — 7.6.