The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Torino | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 9.1 | 5.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.9 | +3.9 |
| xG per match | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| xGA per match | 1.36 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 10 | 10 |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 |
By quality of play Torino is ahead: 9.1 xPTS against 5.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Torino: +0.9, Atalanta: +3.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Torino — 6.7, Atalanta — 4.7.