The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Torino | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 7 | 5 |
| xPTS | 7.6 | 10.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.6 | −5.4 |
| xG per match | 1.24 | 1.56 |
| xGA per match | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| Scored | 7 | 6 |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 |
By quality of play Bologna is ahead: 10.4 xPTS against 7.6. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Torino: −0.6, Bologna: −5.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Torino — 7.7, Bologna — 8.3.