Borussia Mönchengladbach — Mainz 05 3:4

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3:4

Mainz 05

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Mainz 05 was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	3.09	−0.1	1.25
Mainz 05	4	3.47	+0.5	1.59

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
10'	Florian Neuhaus	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.37	Lukas Ullrich
17'	Phillip Tietz	Mainz 05	0.90	Sheraldo Becker
45'	Sheraldo Becker	Mainz 05	0.07	Anthony Caci
58'	Isac Lidberg	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.37	Lukas Ullrich
77'	Eric Martel	Mainz 05	0.51	Kaishu Sano
88'	Danny da Costa	Mainz 05	0.60
94'	Shuto Machino (penalty)	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.76

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
17'	Phillip Tietz	Mainz 05	0.90	goal
88'	Danny da Costa	Mainz 05	0.60	goal, from a corner
77'	Eric Martel	Mainz 05	0.51	goal, header, from a corner

Shots: Borussia Mönchengladbach 21, Mainz 05 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 5.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.75, Mainz 05 2.06: a clear edge for Mainz 05. In the second half xG was Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.34, Mainz 05 1.42: a clear edge for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The edge in chances passed from Mainz 05 to Borussia Mönchengladbach.

How it fits the season

Borussia Mönchengladbach: −5.3 for the season (18 in the table). Mainz 05: −4.8 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Eintracht Frankfurt — Freiburg 2:2Hamburger SV — 1. FC Köln 2:1Werder Bremen — Augsburg 3:2VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund 0:1

All Bundesliga matches with xG →