The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Mainz 05 was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 3.09 | −0.1 | 1.25 |
| Mainz 05 | 4 | 3.47 | +0.5 | 1.59 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach: −2.8 for the season (18 in the table). Mainz 05: −1.0 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.