The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Werder Bremen was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 3 | 2.30 | +0.7 | 2.35 |
| Augsburg | 2 | 0.74 | +1.3 | 0.48 |
Werder Bremen: +2.4 for the season (8 in the table). Augsburg: +2.4 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.