Pitch Radar

Werder Bremen — Augsburg 3:2

Werder Bremen
3:2
Augsburg
Bundesliga · 19 Sep 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score3:2
Home xG2.30Werder Bremen
Away xG0.74Augsburg
Expected points2.35 : 0.48

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Werder Bremen was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Werder Bremen32.30+0.72.35
Augsburg20.74+1.30.48

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
17'Robin FellhauerAugsburg0.37Fabian Rieder
57'Calvin BrackelmannAugsburg0.08Alexis Claude Maurice
65'Marco GrüllWerder Bremen0.42Chuki
85'Niclas FüllkrugWerder Bremen0.06
92'Mitchell WeiserWerder Bremen0.04Marco Grüll

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
65'Marco GrüllWerder Bremen0.42goal, from a set piece
17'Robin FellhauerAugsburg0.37goal
67'ChukiWerder Bremen0.34blocked

Shots: Werder Bremen 20, Augsburg 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Werder Bremen 0.57, Augsburg 0.45: about even. In the second half xG was Werder Bremen 1.88, Augsburg 0.28: a big edge for Werder Bremen. Augsburg scored 2 from 0.74 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Werder Bremen: +2.6 for the season (6 in the table). Augsburg: −1.9 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Bundesliga matches with xG →