Werder Bremen
AugsburgThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Werder Bremen was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2.30 | +0.7 | 2.35 | |
| 2 | 0.74 | +1.3 | 0.48 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17' | Robin Fellhauer | 0.37 | Fabian Rieder | |
| 57' | Calvin Brackelmann | 0.08 | Alexis Claude Maurice | |
| 65' | Marco Grüll | 0.42 | Chuki | |
| 85' | Niclas Füllkrug | 0.06 | ||
| 92' | Mitchell Weiser | 0.04 | Marco Grüll |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65' | Marco Grüll | 0.42 | goal, from a set piece | |
| 17' | Robin Fellhauer | 0.37 | goal | |
| 67' | Chuki | 0.34 | blocked |
Shots: Werder Bremen 20, Augsburg 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.
In the first half xG was Werder Bremen 0.57, Augsburg 0.45: about even. In the second half xG was Werder Bremen 1.88, Augsburg 0.28: a big edge for Werder Bremen. Augsburg scored 2 from 0.74 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Werder Bremen: +2.6 for the season (6 in the table). Augsburg: −1.9 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.