The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Freiburg created more (2.93 xG against 2.08) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 2.08 | −0.1 | 0.98 |
| Freiburg | 2 | 2.93 | −0.9 | 1.84 |
Eintracht Frankfurt: −0.5 for the season (10 in the table). Freiburg: +1.2 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.