Elversberg — Augsburg 4:3
Elversberg4:3
AugsburgThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score4:3
Home xG4.00Elversberg
Away xG3.74Augsburg
Expected points1.53 : 1.32
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Elversberg was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 4 | 4.00 | +0.0 | 1.53 |
| Augsburg | 3 | 3.74 | −0.7 | 1.32 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' | Lukas Petkov | Elversberg | 0.68 | |
| 6' | Lasse Günther | Elversberg | 0.46 | Maurice Krattenmacher |
| 27' | Maximilian Rohr | Elversberg | 0.12 | Felix Keidel |
| 53' | Fabian Rieder (penalty) | Augsburg | 0.76 | |
| 75' | Michael Gregoritsch (penalty) | Augsburg | 0.76 | |
| 88' | Frederik Schmahl | Elversberg | 0.62 | Lukas Petkov |
| 89' | Mert Kömür | Augsburg | 0.04 | Hennes Behrens |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' | Lukas Petkov | Elversberg | 0.68 | goal, from a set piece |
| 88' | Frederik Schmahl | Elversberg | 0.62 | goal |
| 6' | Lasse Günther | Elversberg | 0.46 | goal |
Shots: Elversberg 19, Augsburg 29; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 3.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Elversberg 2.59, Augsburg 0.88: a big edge for Elversberg. In the second half xG was Elversberg 1.92, Augsburg 2.88: a clear edge for Augsburg. The edge in chances passed from Elversberg to Augsburg.
How it fits the season
Elversberg: +5.7 for the season (7 in the table). Augsburg: −1.9 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Hamburger SV — 
VfB Stuttgart 1:0
Schalke 04 — 
Mainz 05 0:1
Union Berlin — 
Borussia Dortmund 0:0
Werder Bremen — 
Paderborn 2:2
Bayern Munich — 
RB Leipzig 6:1