Pitch Radar

Bayern Munich — RB Leipzig 6:1

Bayern Munich
6:1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga · 17 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score6:1
Home xG4.90Bayern Munich
Away xG0.70RB Leipzig
Expected points2.89 : 0.08

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Bayern Munich was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Bayern Munich64.90+1.12.89
RB Leipzig10.70+0.30.08

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
11'Luis DíazBayern Munich0.29Joshua Kimmich
25'Aleksandar PavlovicBayern Munich0.31Luis Díaz
33'Michael OliseBayern Munich0.07Harry Kane
46'Luis DíazBayern Munich0.06Harry Kane
52'Harry KaneBayern Munich0.98Nathaniel Brown
68'Luis DíazBayern Munich0.04Michael Olise
90'Andrija MaksimovicRB Leipzig0.09Brajan Gruda

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
52'Harry KaneBayern Munich0.98goal
74'Michael OliseBayern Munich0.72saved
29'Ismael SaibariBayern Munich0.52saved, from a set piece

Shots: Bayern Munich 29, RB Leipzig 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Bayern Munich 2.44, RB Leipzig 0.23: a big edge for Bayern Munich. In the second half xG was Bayern Munich 2.59, RB Leipzig 0.48: a big edge for Bayern Munich. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Bayern Munich scored 6 from 4.90 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Bayern Munich: −3.8 for the season (1 in the table). RB Leipzig: +0.6 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Bundesliga matches with xG →