Bayern Munich
RB LeipzigThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Bayern Munich was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4.90 | +1.1 | 2.89 | |
| 1 | 0.70 | +0.3 | 0.08 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11' | Luis Díaz | 0.29 | Joshua Kimmich | |
| 25' | Aleksandar Pavlovic | 0.31 | Luis Díaz | |
| 33' | Michael Olise | 0.07 | Harry Kane | |
| 46' | Luis Díaz | 0.06 | Harry Kane | |
| 52' | Harry Kane | 0.98 | Nathaniel Brown | |
| 68' | Luis Díaz | 0.04 | Michael Olise | |
| 90' | Andrija Maksimovic | 0.09 | Brajan Gruda |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52' | Harry Kane | 0.98 | goal | |
| 74' | Michael Olise | 0.72 | saved | |
| 29' | Ismael Saibari | 0.52 | saved, from a set piece |
Shots: Bayern Munich 29, RB Leipzig 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 0.
In the first half xG was Bayern Munich 2.44, RB Leipzig 0.23: a big edge for Bayern Munich. In the second half xG was Bayern Munich 2.59, RB Leipzig 0.48: a big edge for Bayern Munich. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Bayern Munich scored 6 from 4.90 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Bayern Munich: −3.8 for the season (1 in the table). RB Leipzig: +0.6 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.