Werder Bremen — Paderborn 2:2

Werder Bremen

2:2

Paderborn

Bundesliga · 17 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score2:2

Home xG2.67Werder Bremen

Away xG1.37Paderborn

Expected points2.12 : 0.71

Who deserved it

A draw, but Werder Bremen created more (2.67 xG against 1.37) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Werder Bremen	2	2.67	−0.7	2.12
Paderborn	2	1.37	+0.6	0.71

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
17'	Stefano Marino	Paderborn	0.08	Steffen Tigges
29'	Steffen Tigges	Paderborn	0.11
58'	Niclas Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	0.29	Eren Sami Dinkci
64'	Niclas Füllkrug (penalty)	Werder Bremen	0.76

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
35'	Steffen Tigges	Paderborn	0.43	off target, header
80'	Niclas Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	0.39	saved
5'	Steffen Tigges	Paderborn	0.29	saved

Shots: Werder Bremen 18, Paderborn 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Werder Bremen 0.79, Paderborn 1.09: a small edge for Paderborn. In the second half xG was Werder Bremen 1.89, Paderborn 0.27: a big edge for Werder Bremen. The edge in chances passed from Paderborn to Werder Bremen.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.