Schalke 04 — Mainz 05 0:1

Schalke 04

0:1

Mainz 05

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Mainz 05 was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Schalke 04	0	0.41	−0.4	0.54
Mainz 05	1	1.53	−0.5	2.21

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
23'	Phillip Tietz	Mainz 05	0.38	Anthony Caci

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
23'	Phillip Tietz	Mainz 05	0.38	goal
0'	Sheraldo Becker	Mainz 05	0.31	saved
84'	Hee-Chan Hwang	Schalke 04	0.18	saved, header

Shots: Schalke 04 9, Mainz 05 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Schalke 04 0.09, Mainz 05 1.23: a clear edge for Mainz 05. In the second half xG was Schalke 04 0.32, Mainz 05 0.35: about even.

How it fits the season

Schalke 04: −1.6 for the season (17 in the table). Mainz 05: −4.8 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart 1:0Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund 0:0Werder Bremen — Paderborn 2:2Elversberg — Augsburg 4:3Bayern Munich — RB Leipzig 6:1

All Bundesliga matches with xG →