Paderborn — Hamburger SV 1:0

Paderborn

1:0

Hamburger SV

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Paderborn was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Paderborn	1	1.36	−0.4	2.10
Hamburger SV	0	0.42	−0.4	0.62

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
87'	Rayan Philippe	Paderborn	0.03	Felix Götze

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
46'	Santiago Castañeda	Paderborn	0.47	saved
94'	Rayan Philippe	Paderborn	0.17	off target
21'	Tjark Scheller	Paderborn	0.15	off target, from a corner

Shots: Paderborn 16, Hamburger SV 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Paderborn 0.23, Hamburger SV 0.11: about even. In the second half xG was Paderborn 1.11, Hamburger SV 0.30: a clear edge for Paderborn.

How it fits the season

Paderborn: +0.6 for the season (13 in the table). Hamburger SV: +3.9 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Augsburg — Union Berlin 1:11. FC Köln — Schalke 04 0:0Mainz 05 — Werder Bremen 2:3RB Leipzig — Elversberg 4:0Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0

All Bundesliga matches with xG →