Union Berlin — Elversberg 1:0

Union Berlin

1:0

Elversberg

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Union Berlin was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Union Berlin	1	1.24	−0.2	2.15
Elversberg	0	0.28	−0.3	0.55

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
80'	Livan Burcu	Union Berlin	0.04

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
78'	Mekhi Gray	Union Berlin	0.14	off target, header
85'	Livan Burcu	Union Berlin	0.13	blocked
61'	Tom Rothe	Union Berlin	0.10	off target, from a corner

Shots: Union Berlin 19, Elversberg 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Union Berlin 0.19, Elversberg 0.03: about even. In the second half xG was Union Berlin 1.07, Elversberg 0.27: a clear edge for Union Berlin.

How it fits the season

Union Berlin: −0.2 for the season (16 in the table). Elversberg: +5.7 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Mainz 05 — Bayer Leverkusen 3:4Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart 0:2Augsburg — Bayern Munich 2:2Hoffenheim — Hamburger SV 2:3RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0

All Bundesliga matches with xG →