Liverpool vs Leeds United: match prediction
LiverpoolVS
Leeds UnitedThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win46%Liverpool
Draw26%
Away win28%Leeds United
Expected points, home1.63
What to expect
A slight edge to Liverpool: 46% against 28%. Attack against defence: level, 1.45 and 1.39 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Liverpool have taken 3.1 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14.9 | +3.1 | 1.57 | 1.39 |
| Leeds United | 9 | 10 | 14 | 13.9 | +0.1 | 1.39 | 1.32 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace — Liverpool 1:3Liverpool — 
Arsenal 0:1Liverpool — 
Brighton 2:0
Brentford — Liverpool 1:2Liverpool — 
Manchester City 0:3Leeds — 
Tottenham 1:0
Bournemouth — Leeds 2:0
Sunderland — Leeds 0:0Leeds — 
Manchester United 1:1Arsenal — Leeds 2:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions