The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Liverpool: 45% against 32%. Attack against defence: Liverpool should create more, 1.82 expected goals a match against 1.45. Read the table with care: Liverpool have taken 3.2 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 17 | 8 | 7 | 8.2 | −1.2 | 1.56 | 2.17 |
| Liverpool | 4 | 8 | 15 | 11.8 | +3.2 | 1.48 | 1.34 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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