The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Liverpool are favourites: 59% to win against 20%. Attack against defence: Liverpool should create more, 1.73 expected goals a match against 1.43. Sunderland are 4.7 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 4 | 8 | 15 | 11.8 | +3.2 | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Sunderland | 20 | 8 | 5 | 9.7 | −4.7 | 1.51 | 1.99 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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