The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Barcelona are favourites: 87% to win against 4%. Attack against defence: Barcelona should create more, 2.46 expected goals a match against 1.04. Read the table with care: Barcelona have taken 2.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1 | 10 | 27 | 25.0 | +2.0 | 3.71 | 1.12 |
| Celta Vigo | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11.8 | +0.2 | 0.96 | 1.22 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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