The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Real Betis are favourites: 76% to win against 9%. Attack against defence: Real Betis should create more, 1.94 expected goals a match against 1.32. Read the table with care: Real Betis have taken 6.2 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 3 | 7 | 16 | 9.8 | +6.2 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Málaga | 20 | 7 | 3 | 5.4 | −2.4 | 0.81 | 2.00 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.