Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid: match prediction
Real SociedadVS
Real MadridThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win14%Real Sociedad
Draw16%
Away win70%Real Madrid
Expected points, home0.57
What to expect
Real Madrid are favourites: 70% to win against 14%. Attack against defence: Real Madrid should create more, 2.21 expected goals a match against 1.30. Read the table with care: Real Sociedad have taken 7.1 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 5 | 12 | 22 | 14.9 | +7.1 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Real Madrid | 2 | 12 | 30 | 27.7 | +2.3 | 2.55 | 1.01 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad (2026-08-26).
Recent matches
Real Sociedad — 
Rayo Vallecano 1:0
Athletic Club — Real Sociedad 2:1Real Sociedad — 
Levante 2:1
Malaga — Real Sociedad 2:5Real Sociedad — 
Deportivo La Coruna 3:2
Valencia — Real Madrid 0:3
Racing Santander — Real Madrid 0:3
Barcelona — Real Madrid 1:2Real Madrid — 
Sevilla 4:1Real Madrid — 
Villarreal 1:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions