Pitch Radar

Angers vs Lorient: what the numbers say

Ligue 1 · Round 8 · 24 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win47%Angers
Draw27%
Away win25%Lorient
Expected points, home1.70

What to expect

A slight edge to Angers: 47% against 25%. Attack against defence: level, 1.45 and 1.33 expected goals a match.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Angers7577.4−0.41.671.51
Lorient12556.4−1.41.161.23

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →