Pitch Radar

Le Mans vs Lyon: match prediction

Le Mans
VS
Lyon
Ligue 1 · Round 15 · 2 Jan 2027 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win23%Le Mans
Draw22%
Away win55%Lyon
Expected points, home0.91

What to expect

Lyon are favourites: 55% to win against 23%. Attack against defence: Lyon should create more, 1.86 expected goals a match against 1.29. Le Mans are 1.7 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Le Mans151089.7−1.71.392.06
Lyon5101716.2+0.81.671.19

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

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