Pitch Radar

Lille vs Auxerre: match prediction

Ligue 1 · Round 13 · 5 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win55%Lille
Draw22%
Away win23%Auxerre
Expected points, home1.87

What to expect

Lille are favourites: 55% to win against 23%. Attack against defence: Lille should create more, 1.69 expected goals a match against 1.47. Read the table with care: Lille have taken 4.4 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Lille381510.6+4.41.421.55
Auxerre128109.2+0.81.391.97

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

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