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Lorient vs Auxerre: match prediction

Lorient
VS
Auxerre
Ligue 1 · Round 15 · 2 Jan 2027 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win63%Lorient
Draw23%
Away win14%Auxerre
Expected points, home2.12

What to expect

Lorient are favourites: 63% to win against 14%. Attack against defence: Lorient should create more, 1.62 expected goals a match against 1.11.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Lorient10101515.4−0.41.241.01
Auxerre14101010.4−0.41.222.01

Recent matches

Le Havre — Lorient 0:2Lorient — Brest 0:2Angers — Lorient 0:0Lorient — Monaco 1:0Lorient — Paris FC 1:0
Auxerre — Paris FC 0:1Strasbourg — Auxerre 5:1Auxerre — Le Mans 1:1Le Havre — Auxerre 1:3Rennes — Auxerre 4:1

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions