Pitch Radar

Lyon vs Monaco: match prediction

Lyon
VS
Monaco
Ligue 1 · Round 12 · 29 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win60%Lyon
Draw24%
Away win16%Monaco
Expected points, home2.04

What to expect

Lyon are favourites: 60% to win against 16%. Attack against defence: Lyon should create more, 1.55 expected goals a match against 1.15. Read the table with care: Monaco have taken 4.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Lyon5101716.2+0.81.671.19
Monaco7101611.7+4.31.101.43

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions